Merging Strong-field and Perturbative Gravity for the Precision Gravitational-Wave Era

Coordinators: Beatrice Bonga, Radu Roiban, Leo C. Stein, and Barry Wardell

Scientific Advisors: Zvi Bern, Emanuele Berti, Harald Pfeiffer, Adam Pound, Maarten van de Meent, and Nicolas Yunes

This program will bring together experts across gravitational physics to address one of the central challenges of the coming decade: modelling gravitational waves with the precision required by next-generation observatories. As LIGO, Virgo, and KAGRA are upgraded, and as LISA, the Einstein Telescope, and Cosmic Explorer come online, gravitational-wave observations will become dramatically more sensitive. Extracting the full physics from these signals will require equally precise theoretical waveform models. Achieving this demands tools spanning perturbative methods, quantum-field-theory-inspired calculations, and large-scale numerical simulations, approaches that have achieved major successes but have largely developed in isolation.

The program will bring together four key communities: black hole perturbation theory, which probes strong-field dynamics and ringdown; scattering amplitudes and effective field theory, which have produced high-order results for binary dynamics; numerical relativity, which provides fully nonlinear benchmarks; and data analysis, which tests theoretical predictions against observations. The goal is to develop waveform models spanning the full inspiral-merger-ringdown process, with systematic improvements and quantified uncertainties. Recent progress at the interfaces between these areas, including links between post-Minkowskian theory, numerical simulations, and perturbative ringdown calculations, makes this an especially timely effort.